â– It is necessary to assess the situation, seek advantages and avoid disadvantages, properly respond to it, and strive to reverse the downward trend in the growth rate of the industrial economy, and do everything possible to protect the productivity and strive to maintain a steady growth of the industry.
â– To cope with the crisis, expand domestic demand, and promote economic development, the focus is on industry, and the difficulty is business.
â– Development cannot be separated from the support of confidence. Confidence is more important than gold. Always review yesterday, respond to today, plan tomorrow. It is necessary to pay more attention to the major issues of emerging nature, trends, and regularity, and to give full systemic power, to get rid of it quickly, to carry out heavy fists, to be accurate, to be effective, to reverse the downward trend in the growth rate of industrial economy, and to protect the development of social productivity. .
â– We must not only weather the immediate crisis, but also scientifically plan the future development of the industry, focus on adjusting the structure, changing the development mode, weathering the harsh winter of the financial crisis and meeting the spring of industrial economic development.
In the face of the complex and ever-changing domestic and international situation, the industrial and informatization system should thoroughly understand the central government's judgment of the situation, implement the decision-making and deployment of the central government, strengthen confidence, earnestly perform its duties, and overcome difficulties.
(I) Accurately grasping the economic situation at home and abroad The current international financial crisis has spread rapidly and spread extensively, and the world economy has suffered serious setbacks. The financing function of the financial system has been severely ineffective, and there has been a large shortage of liquidity. The prices of the world's major raw materials and transportation have fallen sharply, and the growth rate of the real economy has fallen sharply. In the third quarter, the economy of the United States, Europe, and Japan fell in an overall manner. Some emerging countries have seen a significant slowdown in economic growth. In the coming period, the international financial crisis and its impact will expand. According to the forecast of the International Monetary Fund, the growth rate of the world economy in 2009 was only 2.2%, down 1.5 percentage points from the previous year, of which the United States, the European Union, and Japan were negative growth, which were -0.7%, -0.5%, and -0.2%, respectively. The trend of a complete recession.
The impact of the international environmental deterioration on China’s economy has become more pronounced, especially in the industrial sector. First, industrial growth has slowed down significantly and downward pressure has increased. The growth rate slipped from 16% in June to 14.7% in July, 12.8% in August, 11.4% in September, 8.2% in October and 5.4% in November. Export growth slowed down. From January to November, the increase in export delivery value dropped by 8.4 percentage points year-on-year, and was -5.2% in November. In October and November, the total turnover of railway freight in the country decreased by 1.3% and 6.1% year-on-year. Second, the raw material market price has dropped significantly. Affected by the sharp drop in the prices of primary products in the international market, the current market price of major steel products in China has fallen by nearly half from the highest level this year. The prices of copper, aluminum, lead, zinc and nickel have dropped by 20% to 46% in the past two months, and the prices of chemical products have fallen. 40% to 70%. Third, the output of certain industries declined and losses occurred. In November, crude steel output fell by 12.4%, auto production fell by 15.9%, ethylene production decreased by 12.2%, and power generation decreased by 9.6%. Iron and steel, non-ferrous metals, petrochemical and other industries are subject to the double pressure of ex-factory prices of current products and inventory of high-priced raw materials in the previous period, resulting in overall losses. Fourth, the degree of difficulty of the company has deepened. Significant reduction in orders, a substantial increase in stocks, a serious shortage of funds, production cuts to cut production to a half-production, salary reductions, and migrant workers to return home. A large number of small and medium-sized enterprises are in trouble, and some large enterprises have suffered severely. Fifth, investment growth has slowed down, and investment stamina has been insufficient. From January to November, new projects in urban areas were significantly reduced. The total investment for new projects started was 2.1% higher than the same period of last year, which was a drop of 22.5 percentage points.
The current financial crisis has not yet bottomed out, and its serious consequences will be further manifested. The external environment for China's development next year will be even more severe.
â– Comprehensively grasp the challenges and opportunities faced, and increase awareness of hardship and responsibility.
â– The industrial and informatization system should further enhance the sense of urgency, estimate the situation more severely, consider the difficulties more fully, and consider the countermeasures more carefully.
(II) Grasping the Challenges and Opportunities Faced and Strengthening the Consciousness of Responsibility and Responsibility At present, the difficulties and challenges faced by the industrial economy are, of course, affected by external financial crisis, but the deep-seated contradictions and problems that exist are also important reasons. Under the severe situation, the problems that have arisen in development that do not meet the requirements of the scientific concept of development have become more prominent.
From an industry perspective, first, the blind development, the issue of overcapacity is clearly exposed. When market demand is strong, all types of companies can make money. Once the market demand declines, many companies immediately begin to underemploy, stop production, and close. The second is the lack of core technologies and key technologies. There are many companies at the low end of the industrial chain, lack of competitive strength, and weak ability to resist risks. Third, the degree of industrial concentration is low. The industry lacks leading enterprises and backbone enterprises, and its market control is weak. Fourth, a large number of backward production capacity needs to be eliminated, and the market competition order needs to be rectified and standardized.
From the enterprise level, there are many problems in some enterprises that are not competitive. First, the general lack of independent intellectual property rights brand, many products are OEM production, product quality is not high, the market share is low, not meet the needs of the market and consumers. Second, excessive consumption of energy resources, high cost, and lack of competitiveness of products. The third is to pollute the environment, destroy the ecology, and even cause social harm. Fourth, the equipment level is not high or it is not updated in time, the new coefficient is low, and the technical content is not high. Fifth, poor ability to ensure production safety, frequent accidents, and endanger people's lives and health. Sixth, the mode of management is extensive and cannot withstand the impact of factors such as the price of labor and rising raw material prices.
All these problems are the soft underbelly of industrial development. They are not in line with the requirements of the scientific concept of development. They must be carefully summed up and targeted strong measures must be adopted to change them as soon as possible. Industrial and information systems must further enhance their sense of urgency, estimate the situation further to some extent, consider the difficulties more fully, and consider the countermeasures more carefully.
Although it is facing a very serious and complicated situation, we must also see that the basic situation of China’s economic development has not changed. China is still in an important period of strategic opportunities for development. Maintaining stable and rapid economic development has many favorable conditions. First, the rapid development of industrialization and urbanization has great potential for domestic demand. Livelihood projects, rural livelihood projects, social undertakings, and major infrastructure construction will form a powerful stimulus for the industrial economy. Second, China’s overall strength has continued to increase. 30 years of reform and opening up has established a good material basis. In 2007, China’s total GDP reached 24.95 trillion yuan. Among them, the industrial added value has reached 10 trillion yuan, 24 times that of 1978. Third, China’s financial system is generally stable, its national savings rate is high, its foreign exchange reserves are adequate, its domestic market is vast, and its macroeconomic control is relatively large. Fourth, the basic role of the market has been effectively brought into play. The company's awareness and ability to respond to market changes have been continuously improved, and the industrial supporting system is relatively complete. It has strong external competitiveness and domestic supply capacity. We must also see that this financial crisis has also brought unprecedented opportunities for China to adjust its structure, introduce technology and talents, and enterprises to “go globalâ€. It is necessary to review the situation, seek advantages and avoid disadvantages, properly respond to it, and strive to reverse the downward trend in the growth rate of the industrial economy. We must do everything possible to protect the productivity and strive to maintain the steady growth of the industry.
■The Central Government emphasizes that the primary task of economic work next year is to maintain stable and rapid economic development. We must reverse the downward trend of economic growth as the most important goal of macroeconomic regulation and control. We must take the expansion of domestic demand as the main focus of economic growth. We must take structural adjustment and independent innovation as the main direction for transforming development methods. We must deepen reforms. As the fundamental driving force for the promotion of scientific development, opening up must guarantee and improve people’s livelihood as the starting point and end result of economic work.
(III) Deeply understand and resolutely implement a series of major central decision-making arrangements, and further strengthen the confidence and determination to overcome difficulties. To counter the impact of the international financial crisis, the central government adheres to flexible and prudent macroeconomic policies, decisively implements proactive fiscal policies and is moderately relaxed. Monetary policy has taken timely measures to expand domestic demand and promote economic growth. In the fourth quarter of this year, the central government has allocated 100 billion yuan in fiscal funds to drive the total scale of local and social funds to reach 400 billion yuan. In the next two years, the central government will arrange 1.18 trillion yuan, with a total investment of 4 trillion yuan.
The 37th executive meeting of the State Council passed policies and measures to help enterprises overcome difficulties and promote the development of the industrial economy. Including vigorously supporting the development of key industries; Accelerating the promotion of technological transformation, independent innovation and mergers and reorganizations of enterprises; Increasing state procurement, storage, and commercial collection and storage of important material resources; Supporting the development of SMEs; Accelerating the development of producer services; Increasing employment Six measures including social security support.
The Central Economic Work Conference has analyzed and judged the current situation and put forward general requirements for the economic work next year. The Central Government emphasizes that the primary task of economic work next year is to maintain stable and rapid economic development. We must reverse the downward trend of economic growth as the most important goal of macroeconomic regulation and control. We must take the expansion of domestic demand as the main focus of economic growth. We must take structural adjustment and independent innovation as the main direction for transforming development methods. We must deepen reforms. As the fundamental driving force for the promotion of scientific development, opening up must guarantee and improve people’s livelihood as the starting point and end result of economic work. GDP will increase by about 8% next year. To cope with the crisis, expand domestic demand, and promote economic development, the focus is on industry, and the difficulty is business. The Central Economic Work Conference has paid great attention to industry, with particular emphasis on addressing the deep-seated contradictions and problems that exist, formulating and implementing plans for industrial revitalization, forming new growth points as quickly as possible, promoting industrial change from big to strong, and guiding enterprises to align technological transformation with structural adjustment and industry. Upgrading, mergers and reorganizations have been combined to improve quality, increase variety, reduce consumption, improve efficiency, and promote the overall level of industry and competitiveness to a new level.
The central government's profound analysis and accurate judgment of the economic situation have pointed out the direction for the industry and information systems to understand the situation. We have been greatly encouraged by the series of major decisions and initiatives taken by the Central Government and we feel deeply responsible. Development cannot be separated from the support of confidence. Confidence is more important than gold. External shocks have not changed the fundamentals and long-term development trend of China's economy. China's industrial development is full of vitality and momentum, and it is fully capable and confident to overcome current difficulties and challenges. We must always review yesterday, respond to today, and plan tomorrow. Looking back yesterday, it is necessary to sum up the development achievements and lessons learned during the past 30 years of reform and opening up, and to identify the deep-seated contradictions and problems that do not conform to the scientific concept of development. To deal with today, it is necessary to pay more attention to the major issues of emerging nature, trends, and regularity, and to take the power of the entire system, to get rid of it quickly, to lay emphasis on heavy fists, to implement accurate measures, to ensure that the work is done, and to reverse the downward trend in the growth rate of the industrial economy. Protect the development of social productivity. To plan tomorrow, it is not only necessary to survive the immediate crisis, but also to scientifically plan the future development of the industry, focus on adjusting the structure, changing the development mode, weathering the harsh winter of the financial crisis, and meeting the spring of industrial economic development.
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