Although Ukraine has not fallen into a full-scale civil war, the fierce conflict in southeastern Ukraine can be called a small-scale civil war. Whether the Ukrainian government can end the civil war in a short period of time remains to be seen. Whether it is possible to reach a compromise with Russia is the key.
Recently, Putin showed the other side, that is, feminine means, after strongly taking the strategic thrust of the Crimean Peninsula, Chen Bing pressed the Ukrainian government on the Ukrainian border, but did not intend to send troops to Ukraine. Putin, who loves judo martial arts, is good at leveraging his strength and knowing how to avoid his edge. This time, the position is strong, but it is assessing the gains and losses, and playing Tai Chi.
Ukrainian domestic pro-Russian opposition, there is no way to retreat, how to calm down with the government army, as if there is no solution. As a result of the conflict in the civil war in Ukraine, ethnic conflicts have intensified and seeds of hatred have been planted. The various factions within Ukraine have been fighting, leading to the division of the country.
In the history of Europe, the Balkans are famous for their gunpowder barrels, and the strategic position of the Crimean Peninsula has become the second largest gunpowder barrel in Europe, but Russia and the EU obviously have no intention of igniting the lead. To resolve the conflict in the Ukrainian civil war, perhaps only the parties work together to reach a compromise.
Of course, there is also the possibility of extreme situations, that is, a local war broke out in Russia and Ukraine. Such threats loomed over Ukraine. Once the war began, the possibility of military intervention between the United States and Europe was extremely small. If NATO was involved in the Russian-Ukrainian civil war, the consequences would be disastrous. The strength of the new Ukrainian president is strong. In the opinion of the author, it is time to compromise and negotiate with Russia. The reality is whether Russia is willing to sit at the negotiating table to resolve the bloody conflict in southeastern Ukraine. Russia has absolute right to speak.
The long-term entanglement between Ukraine and Russia is a foregone conclusion. In this context, how the Ukrainian domestic economy recovers is an urgent task for the Ukrainian government.
The Ukrainian auto market in the civil war was characterized by large fluctuations. Sales in May fell sharply. In June, it eased slightly, and sales in the chain rose, but compared with April, it fell 20%.
In June, the total number of registered new light vehicles in the Ukrainian auto market was 6,221 vehicles, which was 9.4% higher than the sales volume, and the sales volume dropped 58.2%. In the first half of this year, a total of 57,688 vehicles were sold, a year-on-year decline of 45%.
The self-owned brand car is in the Ukrainian auto market, and the recent fluctuations are large, only in the May and June sales rankings. Among the top 30 brand cars in the Ukrainian auto market in May, four independent auto companies were on the list, and Geely fell to the fifth place in the sales list, which was a big drop in sales. Chery, BYD and the Great Wall were ranked 18th, 22nd and 29th respectively, with all sales falling without exception.
In June, the list changed, BYD fell out of the list, and Jianghuai, which has already begun assembly and production in Ukraine, ranked 30th in the sales list.
Geely returned to third place in sales in June, with sales up 30.6% qoq, down 23.7% year-on-year, and sold 525 cars. Chery ranked 19th and sold 109 vehicles. The sales volume decreased by 35.1% year-on-year and 3.8%.
The Great Wall and Jianghuai were ranked 29th and 30th respectively, with the same sales volume and 47 cars sold. The Great Wall fell 6% from the previous month and fell 56.1% year-on-year. Jianghuai rose by 38.2%. The sales of Lifan and FAW were not on the list.
The recovery of the Ukrainian auto market in the civil war will take time. The self-owned brand car is currently in the Ukrainian auto market, and is in the stage of persistence. Whether the future of the Ukrainian auto market is beneficial to the automakers, or whether it is a follow-up. Ukrainian and EU economic integration, whether the Ukrainian government completely liberalizes the import tariff policy for automobiles is unknown. If it is released, Ukrainian local auto companies are facing a catastrophe. With Russia completely ruined and no longer enjoys the preferential tariff policy for exporting to Russia, the self-owned brand car expects to use the plan of exporting in Ukraine and then exporting to Russia.
The self-owned brand car in the Ukrainian auto market, the situation that may arise is that the strong ones are strong and the weak auto companies have the risk of withdrawing from the Ukrainian auto market. As far as the prospect of the Ukrainian auto market is concerned, staying in the Ukrainian auto market should be a wise choice for independent auto companies. If Ukraine joins the EU in the future, Ukraine will become the bridgehead for independent auto companies to enter the EU auto market.
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