Networking and intelligence have become the two main directions of the automotive revolution. In the next five years, many countries and automakers around the world will vigorously promote the development of autonomous driving technology, and related models will be launched.
January-February 2015. The British government intends to legislate to allow autonomous vehicles to drive on the road in the coming weeks. The government will provide £1 billion in financial support to help companies organize and test autonomous vehicles in cities such as Coventry, Bristol, Greenwich, and Milton Keynes to make the UK a global driverless car research and development center.
March 2015. Swiss Rinspeed will present the Budii self-driving concept car at the Geneva International Motor Show in Geneva. Its characteristic is that the steering wheel can not only move up and down, but also move left and right. The driver can sit on the left or sit on the right side and control the various systems of the vehicle through the touch screen. When the driver feels tired or wants to make a call, the vehicle can be put into an automatic driving state.
1-2 quarters of 2015. Google has been working on the development of driverless cars in recent years. The working principle of the vehicle is that the automatic driving system continuously scans the surrounding space and is analyzed by the on-board computer to find other road traffic participants 200 meters away. In the early days, this self-driving car can only travel along the road with the digital sign on the vehicle, with a top speed of no more than 40 km/h. Therefore, Google's self-driving car is mainly positioned at the intersection by some information contained in the database. Google’s 25 driverless cars were approved by the California Motor Vehicle Authority (DMV) in September 2014 for driving tests on California public roads, but according to the regulations, unmanned vehicles must be equipped with steering wheels. Controls on the traditional car of the accelerator pedal and brake pedal, so that the owner can switch to the manual driving state under special circumstances. Google then agreed to resume the brake pedal and accelerator pedal on the self-driving car that had only one control button tested.
In late December 2014, Google launched the first prototype of a full-featured driverless car. Google said that we have applied all autonomous driving systems to this full-featured car, so this is the first completely unmanned prototype. At the same time, Google is not going to go it alone, but will further cooperate with automakers who are experienced in this area in the first quarter of 2015. Nathaniel, the technical team leader of Google Automotive, said that we believe that Google's automatic driving style is not too strong and should be more confident. Running too slowly can easily cause dissatisfaction from other drivers.
The fourth quarter of 2015. According to Nissan Motor Co.'s plan, the prototype of the first self-driving car will be launched at the end of 2015. This batch version of the car will not be before 2020. Not long ago, Nissan signed a five-year cooperation agreement with NASA's NASA to improve the autonomous driving technology for Mars and other space probes and Nissan vehicles. Carlos Ghosn, the head of the Nissan-Renault Alliance, said that the common mission is to bring together NASA, who is in space, and Nissan, who is on Earth. The cooperation with NASA will enable Nissan to accelerate the development of reliable and safe autonomous driving technology and launch the first related models during 2016-2020.
February-March 2016. The new BMW 7 Series will be unveiled in early 2016. The model will be equipped with many automotive electronic systems, including autopilots. According to its internal staff, the device is generally used at low speeds, for example, in parking lots or traffic jams.
At present, BMW Motors is testing new autonomous driving systems in China. Its working principle is basically the same as that of Google's cars. It is mainly based on satellite data and network maps. Previously, BMW self-driving cars had been tested in Europe for tens of thousands of kilometers and are now being transferred to China for testing, or to verify that it can adapt to more complex road environments.
March 2016. About a year later, the new Audi A8 will be available in the European market. The options include an automatic driving system that automatically changes lanes, turns and brakes, and finds local parking. Stefan Moser, head of technology and communications at Audi Motors in Germany, said, “Our self-driving cars are safer than most drivers driving themselves. At least, it won’t call or be on the roadside. Beauty and distraction.
In the final analysis, Audi's self-driving car is the automatic collaboration of all car electronic safety systems. The vehicle will be equipped with laser scanners, camcorders and sensors on the bumper, sill and radiator grille. It is expected that the vehicle will automatically travel at a speed of 110 km/h without the involvement of the driver.
The first quarter of 2016. In the first quarter of 2016, Tesla autonomous vehicles will be tested. Unfortunately, more details are temporarily unknown. Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla Electric Sports Car Company of the United States, believes that in another five or six years, the world will usher in the era of automatic driving. At that time, you can stand by and watch your sleep on the vehicle. When you wake up, the vehicle has arrived at the destination. He pointed out that in the future, all models will be equipped with automatic driving systems. Perhaps the Model III will be Tesla's first self-driving car. On the day of mass production, I am afraid it will be until 2020.
The first half of 2016. A year and a half later, General Motors intends to launch Cadillac self-driving cars on the market. With Super Cruise adaptive cruise control technology, cars can change lanes, accelerate, brake and avoid collisions on the highway. In addition, this intelligent vehicle can exchange data with other vehicles and pre-warn the driver to determine the potential risk of a collision. It is expected that the Super Cruise autopilot and V2V vehicle interaction system will be used first for the new Cadillac CTS. However, since this self-driving car is space-determined by traffic signs, the Super Cruise autopilot system may not be activated on country roads or in harsh weather conditions.
2017. Wolfen Henning Scheidler, a member of the board of directors of Bosch, Germany, said that the company will focus on developing and supplying the equipment needed for automotive automatic control systems in the next few years. For example, sensors, radar and stereo cameras. By 2017, the device will be able to handle complex road conditions at speeds of up to 120 km/h. Wolf Henning Shaydler pointed out that within 10 years, no matter whether the weather is bad or the road electronic map is lacking, the self-driving car will transport passengers from point a to point b without any problem. In addition, in the next 10 years, autonomous driving technology will even be used in commercial transportation.
2020. After five years, the self-driving car will be splendid. Japan's Honda Motor Co.'s Acura RLX series of self-driving cars will enter mass production. At the same time, Volvo Cars will complete the Drive Me driverless car global project. In April 2014, Volvo began testing autonomous vehicles on the streets of Gothenburg, Sweden. The number is gradually increasing, and the number of self-driving cars is currently 100. The road environment tested also covers highways, narrow streets and congested sections.
The time node for launching self-driving cars is aimed at 2020, there are many other car companies, and there are more than one auto-driving models.
2025. Mercedes-Benz trucks suggest that the 2025 Mercedes-Benz self-driving truck will easily travel along the road at a speed of 85 km/h. In order to reduce accidents, the automatic control system will make the truck fully comply with the road traffic rules.
Most modern cars today have the necessary basic conditions for installing an automatic control system. Experts from the French IDATE market research and consulting firm believe that the most important thing for autonomous vehicles is the communication system. That is to say, autonomous vehicles must be able to exchange information with other vehicles through any communication protocol, including driving speed, position, direction, and number of vehicles. It is estimated that by 2018, the total number of Internet vehicles equipped with in-vehicle mobile communication devices and capable of communicating with each other will reach 420 million, with an average annual growth rate of 57%.
Although the autonomous cars that sneak out enhance the confidence of people to get rid of the fatigue of driving, Professor Steve, of the University of California, Berkeley, said that people think that all the problems encountered on the road can be driven by autopilot technology in the future. It's easy to solve, but in reality, it may not be.
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